sentix ASR Essentials 03-2016

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Beacons amidst the prevailing gloom on Commodities and EM

While near-term sentiment towards global equity indices is running at modestly positive levels, the latest sentix survey suggests investors remain deeply cautious on developed and emerging markets from a medium-term strategic perspective. In the case of emerging markets, the latest survey provides a couple of bright spots amidst the prevailing gloom. For one thing, investors have become a little less downbeat on Chinese equities from a medium-term strategic perspective, albeit survey readings remain close to historic lows. For another, survey readings suggest investors have become less pessimistic on commodities as an asset class, against a backdrop of less extreme near-term pessimism on Crude Oil. A sustained improvement in commodity sentiment would be good news for EM Equities, given that sentiment on both asset classes remains closely linked (see Charts 2-4, page 2).

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