sentix Survey results (34-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 August 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Negative sentiment supports

Sentiment for equities remains poor. Even though sentiment has improved somewhat, short-term skepticism dominates. This is particularly pronounced for China equities. This gives rise to short-term opportunities for a recovery. Bonds are suffering from the high attractiveness of short maturities. Memories of 2006-2008 are awakening. In gold and EUR-USD, there are interesting divergences between strategic bias and investor behavior.

Further results

  • Bonds: Short maturities are irresistible
  • Gold: Positioning helps
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report

sentix Survey results (33-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 20 August 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

In the middle of the process, not at the end

Sentiment for equities is plummeting dramatically. The sentiment level brings back memories of September 2022. The sentiment signal at that time marked the beginning of a major upward movement. Is the current situation comparable and is there a similarly resilient sentiment buy signal today? It is worth paying attention to similarities and differences. A worrying development is emerging for the Chinese stock market.

Further results

  • Equities: No reassessment
  • Equities: Problematic situation in China
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report

sentix Survey results (32-2023)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 August 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

EUR/USD: High neutrality pairs with further warning signals

Investors are slowly taking heart in equities and are looking positively into the fourth quarter. The bias for U.S. equities, but also for Japanese dividend stocks, is clearly upward. At the same time, short-term concerns persist. Overall, irritation remains at a high level, which could bring high volatility to the equity markets in the short term.
High neutrality is also a theme in currencies and bitcoin. Super neutrality is reaching extreme levels.

Further results

  • Equities: Bias increases, focus turns to the fourth quarter
  • Bonds: High Overconfidence of Fixed Income Bears in the U.S.
  • sentix sector sentiment

Click here for the full report

sentix Survey results (31-2023)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 06 August 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Fat slump in sentiment

The surprisingly marked correction in equities has led to a significant deterioration in sentiment. The bulls are pulling back sharply. This opens up a short-term contrarian potential. However, not only because of the typical August seasonality, this is likely to unfold fully only with an investment period of more than 2-3 weeks. Usually, this kind of sentiment slump is followed by a second "leg" after a short-lived recovery bounce.

Further results

  • Equities: Basic strategic confidence rises by majority
  • USD-JPY: Central bank turns investor bias around
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 07. August 2023 at 10:30 CEST

Click here for the full report

sentix Survey results (30-2023)

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Written by Admin sentix | 30 July 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Signal of new beginnings in China, lethargy in Europe

The stock market in China is doing something remarkable. The investment professionals in particular are sending a strong signal of departure. Crude oil is also slowly developing momentum: the bias has increased by 12 percentage points in the last 6 weeks. Statistically, this means tailwinds for black gold, especially since the positioning of market participants is still lagging behind. Will this lead to new inflationary pressures? Bond investors are looking to the future with promise. Record bias leads to record long positioning.

Further results

  • Bonds: Record bias leads to record long positioning
  • Crude oil: new boost
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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