sentix Survey results (16-2018)

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Equity-Bias at year low

The mood on the stock market can be described as "cautiously optimistic". A central problem remains the weak strategic bias, which in some European markets marks new lows for the year.
Bonds, whose basic conviction is rapidly sinking downwards, are also moving more strongly into focus. This is likely to be linked to crude oil prices, which are fueling new inflation concerns. For many investors, the further crude oil trend is "clear".

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sentix Investmentmeinung 15-2018

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Panik im Ölmarkt

Der Ölpreis hat erneut ein neues Jahres-Verlaufshoch erreicht. Obwohl die Grundüberzeugung schwach und die Positionierung der Anleger rekordhoch ist, überraschen die Ölnotierungen ein ums andere Mal auf der oberen Seite. Dies belastet unsere Researchportfolio-Performance. Wird es Zeit für den Stopp-Loss?

Geänderte Einschätzungen: DAX, EuroSTOXX, US Bonds

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sentix Survey results (15-2018)

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Focus on automobiles and oil stocks

The outstanding feature of the current survey remains the weak basic trust of investors in equities. In addition, the calm mood of investors is surprising when viewed in the context of geopolitical tensions. Overall, strategic uncertainty is rising sharply. An interesting data situation has arisen around oil and in the sector sentiment, especially with regard to automobiles and oil stocks.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 14-2018

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Technik contra Bias

Eine spannende Divergenz besteht bereits seit längerem bei EUR-USD. Während viele strategische Indikatoren deutlich pro US-Dollar sprechen, ist von einer USD-Stärke im charttechnischen Bild von EUR-USD nicht viel zu sehen. In dieser Woche hat sich der Strategische Bias erneut abgeschwächt, so dass wir die Gelegenheit nutzen, unsere EUR-USD-Position einer näheren Betrachtung zu unterziehen.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

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sentix Survey results (14-2018)

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Strategic bias remains tarnished

Investors' basic confidence in equities remains tarnished. Trump's trade agenda is poorly received, as he risks hitting the global economy badly. What weighs on equities increasingly supports bonds. Also, with EUR-USD something is happening: the strategic bias decreases noticeably. In view of the record high positioning of the euro, this is a warning signal.

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