sentix Survey results (08-2023)

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Rising Vola indicated

Medium-term confidence in equities continues to crumble, with investors taking refuge in the neutral camp. For the Japanese Nikkei 225, we measure the highest level in the Super Neutrality Index since January 2022, which suggests rising volatility on the equity markets.
Bonds could benefit from this. Their best wild card is the TD index. Silver also puts an exclamation mark despite the ongoing price weakness!

Further results

  • Bonds: TD index as a wild card
  • Silver: Exclamation mark despite price weakness!
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

Compendium and data package expanded

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The sentix Compendium has been expanded to include entries on the indicator groups Policy Barometer, Risk Aversion Indices and Risk Levels. The explanations are available in German and English.

For some time now, we have been collecting weekly data on risk levels. These are published monthly under SNTZRLxx. This is the data from the survey of the third week of a month. Data customers who obtain the data via our website can use the tickers of the RISK family. Here, all data points requested are collected in a weekly frequency. There is no data publication in the fourth week of a month, as in this week the sentix positioning information allows a detailed look at the portfolio positioning and risks.

The tickers of the RISK family are:

  • RISKRLI0
  • RISKRLP0

The data is now included free of charge in all data subscriptions of the SNPB data package. The tickers are activated automatically.

sentix Survey results (07-2023)

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Seasonal weakness ahead

Before the start of a seasonal weak phase, sentix sentiment data sends contradictory signals. Basic strategic confidence is falling, paving the way for profit-taking. Sentiment, on the other hand, is as bad as it usually is at the end of corrections. Investors are well advised not to take too much risk.

Further results

  • Bonds: Negative sentiment
  • FX: Euro and Yen signals
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (06-2023)

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Equity Sentiment wobbles around

The stock sentiment does not provide a clear trend at the moment and is hovering around the zero line. At the same time, the bias is eroding, which does not bode well for the upcoming expiration week. Clearly better develops the investor behavior on the commodity side. In addition to crude oil, silver in particular looks very good. The TD index gives a new buy signal.

Further results:

  • Crude oil: Constructive
  • Silver: TD buy signal
  • sentix sector sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

From recession to stagnation

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February data in the sentix economic indices come in better than expected. In Euroland, the overall index rises for the fourth time in a row, improving by 9.5 points to now 8 points. The increase signals that a recession is off the table for the time being. Instead, the scenario of stagnation is gaining in contour. In Germany, too, the overall index improved by around 10 points. Both the current situation (+9.2 points) and the economic expectations (+10.2 points) signal an easing of the situation, but not a final all-clear. For the economic region Asia, things are looking better again: With the fifth increase in a row, the economic region is continuing its initiated upswing: The overall index rises by +10.3 points to now +11.7 points. The assessment of the current situation and expectations are moving up together. This also benefits the overall index for the global economy, which climbs to +1.6 points - the highest value since February 2022.

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