A decision for eternity

Written by Manfred Hübner | 13 September 2019
Posted in Woolly thoughts (blog)

Mario Draghi said goodbye to his office yesterday, as he made himself known in office: with a far-reaching monetary policy decision. What does his "decision for eternity" mean?

The Bund yield curve should become steeper

Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 September 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

In the run-up to the upcoming ECB meeting on 12 September, the sentix economic indices are sending an interesting signal for German government bonds. For this purpose, we consider the difference between expected values and situation indices for the economy in Germany and the Euro zone.

Read more here (sentix registration necessary)

sentix Survey results (36-2019)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 08 September 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Gold bias continues to tip over

Over the past twelve months, investors' investment behaviour in gold has changed significantly. The lowest position since 2007 has become one of the highest gold ratios in investor portfolios. This position building was supported by a positive perception of value on the part of investors. However, this has already weakened significantly in recent weeks. This should lead investors to think about profit taking.

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

Stagnation is not yet progress

Written by Manfred Hübner | 08 September 2019
Posted in sentix Economic News

The economic situation in Euroland remains tense. The sentix economic indices improved slightly in September to minus 11.1 points. However, a look at the situation values, which have slipped even deeper into the red, shows that the Euro zone is not far from a recession. In Germany, on the other hand, it must now be assumed that the economy will no longer grow. The expected values, which can recover more clearly, do give us some hope. But as long as these bear a negative sign, a trend reversal is not yet in sight.

sentix Survey results (35-2019)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 01 September 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Positive market breadth for US equities

Market breadth is an important building block in the assessment of stock markets. An indicator for the composition of the market breadth is the "Advance Decline" line. It measures daily how many shares are rising or falling and the cumulative result. Currently, the "AD line" for the S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high and is thus positively divergent from the price trend, which has not yet reached this high. A sign of strength.