sentix Survey results (35-2019)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 01 September 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Positive market breadth for US equities

Market breadth is an important building block in the assessment of stock markets. An indicator for the composition of the market breadth is the "Advance Decline" line. It measures daily how many shares are rising or falling and the cumulative result. Currently, the "AD line" for the S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high and is thus positively divergent from the price trend, which has not yet reached this high. A sign of strength.

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Latent residual risk

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 August 2019
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

Despite the uncertainties about the development of the Euro zone economy and the approaching Brexit, investors are relatively unaffected in terms of Euro stability. The sentix Euro Break-up Index remains almost unchanged at 9.0 points. However, the index for the risk of contagion shows that a return of the Euro uncertainty is still not averted.

Gold correction ante portas

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 August 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

In the current weekly analysis, we have highlighted the sentix risk radar to gold. With a value of -2.1 standard deviations, gold has a high risk according to this indicator. The indicator evaluates the factors sentiment, positioning, overconfidence, deviation from the moving average and the RSI indicator.

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sentix Survey results (34-2019)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 25 August 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Gold risks sharply increased

With the sentix risk radar, we systematically measure opportunities and risks that arise for investments from sentiment or technical analysis. Extreme values arise when the indications across all the sub-indicators considered show strong characteristics. For gold (in USD), the overall index reaches such a high value with -2.1 standard deviations. The average price expectation over 4-6 weeks is now -5%!

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Classical US Pre-election Year

Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 August 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

2019 is so far a relatively typical pre-election year in the US presidential cycle on the US stock exchange. If this remains the case, no major gains can be expected from US equities into November. However, the coming stabilisation phase of around 25 trading days also stands out in this analysis.