No all-clear for the euro
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02 July 2012
Posted in
sentix Euro Break-up Index News
The latest survey on the sentix Euro break-up Risk Index, immediately performed after the surprising decisions of Euro leaders last Friday, gave a sobering result for the rescue politicians. The approximately 1,000 investors surveyed by sentix see the risk, that at least one country will leave within twelve months time frime, hardly less than a week ago!
55.25% - this is the current value of the new sentix EBR index. This means that around 55% of investors surveyed by sentix expect that at least one country withdraws within one year from the euro area. Additionally, sentix has changed the survey methodology slightly. Thus, the investors were asked to provide an estimate, what countries are among the three more likely exit candidates.
The survey shows that, as in the previous week, Greece remains the main problem of the euro zone. 94.5% of institutional investors who expect a breakup of the euro zone expect Greece as the most likely candidate (90,3% of individual investors). The new survey methodology exhibits more exit candidates. This catches the eye of Cyprus in particular. About 25% of respondents expect an exit of Cyprus. Third on the list of problem countries is Portugal with 13.35%.
The sentix Euro break-up risk index will be surveyed in the fourth week of the month and published on the following Monday. Details and current values can be found at http://ebr.sentix.co.uk
