sentix Survey Essentials (English)

Folder: 2023 and before

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    indicator in focus: sentix Bond Sentiment for Emerging Markets takes a beating

    Uploaded:
    21.11.16
    File Size:
    536 KB

    sentix Bond Sentiment for Emerging Markets takes a beating

    The monthly gauge of investors’ sentiment on emerging markets bonds plunges into negative territory. However, the stark contrast to previous month’s sentiment does not signal an upcoming bear market.

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    Indicator in focus: Party on Wall Street

    Uploaded:
    14.11.16
    File Size:
    566 KB

    Party on Wall Street

    Investors celebrate the surprising outcome of the US election. Investors’ sentiment for the US equity market has reached the highest level since 2010. In the past, comparable sentiment levels indicated that the US market is temporarily overbought.

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    Indicator in focus: A second Brexit result?

    Uploaded:
    24.10.16
    File Size:
    154 KB

    A second Brexit result?

    In a special survey, we interviewed more than 1,000 investors for their opinion on the forthcoming US presidential elections. From the point of view of investors, the choice seems to be running. Around 90% expect a victory from Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. This clear vote goes beyond the current state of the so-called "prediction mar-kets", ie the vote of the bookmakers. Is the story of the Brexit repeating itself?

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    Indicator in focus: Question of adjustment

    Uploaded:
    17.10.16
    File Size:
    553 KB

    Question of adjustment

    Investors’ opinion on the euro currency has fallen to the lowest level since “Brexit”. Despite that comparable pessimistic sentiment readings point towards an immediate reversal, current portfolio setups do not fully support investors’ sentiment, yet. Hence, in the next weeks, the euro should continue to show relative weakness

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    Indicator in focus: OPEC boosts investor sentiment

    Uploaded:
    04.10.16
    File Size:
    590 KB

    OPEC boosts investor sentiment

    After OPEC announces production cuts, sentiment among oil market participants spikes and hits a bullish level not seen in more than two years. At the same time, investors’ confidence in higher crude prices solidifies. Both signals combined yield higher crude prices in the coming months, based on past studies.

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    sentix Euro Break-up Index: Mediterranean tensions

    Uploaded:
    26.09.16
    File Size:
    213 KB

    Euro Break-up Index: Mediterranean tensions

    The fragile condition of the Eurozone has not improved in comparison to previous months. The September results draw a gloomy picture. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) for the Eurozone rises to 16.3 points, while in the meantime contagion risks have slightly fallen. Especially the situation of the Portuguese and Greek economy continues to cause worries with investors.

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    Indicator in focus: Confidence in German equities at annual high

    Uploaded:
    19.09.16
    File Size:
    210 KB

    Confidence in German equities at annual high

    Confidence in German equities jumps to the highest value since a year ago. As professional investors continue to revise their expectations up, their sentiment remains dulled. Historically, the current indicator setup is a bullish sign for a positive development of the DAX stock index over the next weeks.

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    Indicator in focus: Little fear despite disappointment

    Uploaded:
    12.09.16
    File Size:
    237 KB

    Little fear despite disappointment

    Investors sentiment towards German government long bonds chills. EZB’s preliminary decision not to expand monetary policy disappoints investors. However, fear among market participants such as in April/May 2015 is not present, yet.

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    sentix Euro Break-up Index: Superficial ease of tensions

    Uploaded:
    29.08.16
    File Size:
    235 KB

    Euro Break-up Index: Superficial ease of tensions

    Tensions within the euro zone are easing in August. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) has fallen -4.6 points to 15.7 points, hence, significantly below the “magic” 20 points threshold. Overall, investors believe that the risk of the euro zone falling apart has decreased as risk sensitiveness for the euro periphery had fallen simultaneously. Only the continuously weak condition of the Italian banking industry, as well as lacklustre economic dynamic in Europe, emit risks.

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    Indicator in focus: Emerging Markets Sentiment rises to three-year high

    Uploaded:
    23.08.16
    File Size:
    187 KB

    Emerging Markets Sentiment rises to three-year high

    The monthly sentix indicator measuring investors’ sentiment for emerging markets equities points towards rising stock indices. Investors continue to show an unbridled willingness to purchase emerging markets stocks as the sentix index marks the highest reading since three years ago. Developments of economic expectations and commodity prices fire investors’ imagination.

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