Can it get any better?

Written by Manfred Hübner | 05 July 2021
Posted in sentix Economic News

The global economy is running at full speed. Even the crisis region of Latin America is back in positive territory for the first time since May 2018. Even if the recession has not yet been fully overcome there, things are booming everywhere. The global situation index rose for the 15th time in a row to 29.4 points. Can it get any better? In the short term, there are increasing signs of overstimulation. Expectations are starting to fall. This could contribute to higher stock market volatility over the summer.

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sentix Survey results (27-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 04 July 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Something does not fit together

Bond prices seem stable. In the background, however, basic strategic confidence has plummeted and positioning, conversely, is far too high. These developments do not fit together, especially as the latest economic figures are adding fuel to the fire. The latest July data from the "first mover" point the way. Speaking of oil, the risk factors for black gold are rising again. The situation is much more relaxed for precious metals.

Further results:

• Equities: China as a disruptive factor
• Crude oil: Risk radar with negative signal
• sentix economic index: Monday, 05th July 2021 at 10:30 AM CET

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sentix Survey results (26-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 27 June 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bears lose patience

Offensively oriented equity portfolios meet extremely high neutrality. This is likely to lead to greater volatility in the coming weeks! In addition, the bears are slowly losing patience, the correction in equities just won't come. So something is brewing! Risks are also increasing in crude oil: The Overconfidence Index is the first warning signal.

Further results:

• Equities: Super-Neutrality with new all-time high
• Crude oil: High overconfidence
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

sentix Survey results (25-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 20 June 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Weak post-future expiry week likely

The June futures expiry is usually very important in the stock markets. Investors take stock of the first half of the year and are called upon to position themselves for the second half of the year and - even more important - for the often volatile summer months. The week after expiry is usually accompanied by price weakness before a final phase of strength until the end of July. Sentiment data does not necessarily contradict this course, with volatility casting its shadow ahead.

Further results:

• Equities: Professionals lose basic confidence
• Gold: First stabilisation, then upswing again
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

sentix Survey results (24-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 June 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

No summer rally in sight

The markets remain emotionless and careless. The measured overconfidence levels for European equities call for caution, and investors are successively closing their vola-short positions in the United States. The positioning behaviour on the US bond market is striking: bias and positioning go separate ways. No all-clear can be given for bitcoins either. On the other hand, precious metals remain solidly supported.

Further results:

• Bonds: Positioning and US bias go separate ways
• Gold: Still solid
• sentix Sector Sentiment: Holiday feelings

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)