sentix Survey results (43-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 October 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Very weak basic trust in US bonds

The stock markets are going through a mood damper. The bulls are getting cold feet and pulling back. The sentiment development is still compatible with an intermediate correction in the intact uptrend. However, the strategic fundamental trust should not erode further. This is already the case for bonds. And also for gold, at least the fundamental trust relative to positioning is too weak.

Further results

• Equities: Sentiment on the decline
• Gold: Missing bias support
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (42-2024)

Written by Admin sentix | 20 October 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

From overconfidence to euphoria

The sentiment indicators on the stock markets are showing euphoria. As a result, the risk parameters are deteriorating - especially for the DAX. In addition to high overconfidence, the position risk is also increasing significantly! There are also signs of exuberance on the crypto market. According to Bitcoin sentiment, the desire to speculate is extremely high. Investors are also rejoicing in silver. However, this reflects the characteristics of a sentiment impulse that holds out the prospect of further price gains.

Further results:

• Silver: Cheers and mood impulse
• Bitcoin: Like four weeks ago
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (41-2024)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 October 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Make Americas S&P 500 greater again

Sentiment for US equities is great, but medium-term confidence is even higher: at +31 percentage points, the strategic bias is at its highest level since December 2020. Investors can't seem to get enough of the S&P 500's record highs. The trend is fuelled by US technology stocks. The temporary aversion from the summer months is no longer much in evidence here. There is also an all-clear signal for gold.

Further results:

• Further resultsGold: Basic confidence catches on at a high level
• Crude oil: Rise could continue
• sentix sector sentiment

China stimulus provides (moderate) tailwind

Written by Patrick Hussy | 06 October 2024
Posted in sentix Economic News

The downward economic trend has been halted for the time being. All regions of the world are showing signs of improvement: the overall index for the eurozone rose from -15.4 to -13.8 points in October after three consecutive declines. While the current situation index in the eurozone once again plumbed a new low for the year, the expectations index rose to -3.8 points. The eurozone economy is thus starting its next attempt to find its way out of recession/stagnation. The German economy remains in recession mode for the time being. On a positive note, however, the expectation values show an improvement with a plus of 6.8 points. The domestic economy is benefiting from the global economic trend: Asia ex Japan (China) in particular is showing positive momentum. However, the USA and Japan are also signalling an economic revival.

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sentix Survey results (40-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 06 October 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

The Strategic bias in equities is rising significantly

During the Chinese holiday week, investors' fundamental confidence in equities improved globally. Institutional investors in particular are reacting very positively in their strategic bias, which statistically indicates rising equity prices. At the same time, sentiment is cooling off in the short term, causing the TD indices to fall as well. We are also measuring bias signals in bonds and the currency market, while the oil sentiment is very bullish.

Further results

• EUR-USD: Reversal in the strategic bias
• Crude oil: Bullish sentiment
• sentix Economic Index: Monday, 7^th oct. 2024, 10:30am CET

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