sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
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sentix Survey results (46-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 17.11.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
The "Trump trade" is faltering
The ‘Trump trade’ is faltering. At least the bulls are already pulling back again. The proportion of bulls in the sentiment index fell by around 20 percentage points. However, the sentiment is still at an elevated level, after we reported an all-time high in the previous week. In Europe, strategic confidence remains weak. There is a bright spot in the sentiment for gold.
Further results
- Gold: A ray of hope
- Crude oil: Strategic bias collapses
- sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (45-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 10.11.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
All-time high in US equity sentiment
Donald Trump's election victory triggers a veritable frenzy of joy. Sentiment for US equities reaches a phenomenal level of +53 percentage points, marking a new all-time high (data history since 2001)! The optimism is focussed very strongly on the US markets. Other stock markets are sending worrying signals. The bond markets are also feeling the effects. The consolidation in precious metals is constructive.
- Further resultsEquities: Bad data for German equities
- Bonds: Bias implosion
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (44-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 03.11.24
- File Size:
- 885 KB
Pessimism returns quickly
Within two weeks, investors' euphoria on the stock market has faded and even turned into slight pessimism. It still seems too early for an anti-cyclical entry. The bond market in particular is proving to be a spoilsport. The declining bond prices are being acknowledged by a falling bias. This is likely to be a stress test for offensive bond portfolios. The expected consolidation in precious metals is also taking shape.
Further results
- Equities: Overconfidence for US technology stocks
- Bonds: Stress test
- sentix economic index: Monday, 04th Nov. 2024 at 10:30 AM CET
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sentix Survey results (43-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 27.10.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Very weak basic trust in US bonds
The stock markets are going through a mood damper. The bulls are getting cold feet and pulling back. The sentiment development is still compatible with an intermediate correction in the intact uptrend. However, the strategic fundamental trust should not erode further. This is already the case for bonds. And also for gold, at least the fundamental trust relative to positioning is too weak.
Further results
- Equities: Sentiment on the decline
- Gold: Missing bias support
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (42-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 20.10.24
- File Size:
- 1022 KB
From overconfidence to euphoria
The sentiment indicators on the stock markets are showing euphoria. As a result, the risk parameters are deteriorating - especially for the DAX. In addition to high overconfidence, the position risk is also increasing significantly! There are also signs of exuberance on the crypto market. According to Bitcoin sentiment, the desire to speculate is extremely high. Investors are also rejoicing in silver. However, this reflects the characteristics of a sentiment impulse that holds out the prospect of further price gains.
Further results:
- Silver: Cheers and mood impulse
- Bitcoin: Like four weeks ago
- sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (41-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 13.10.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Make Americas S&P 500 greater again
Sentiment for US equities is great, but medium-term confidence is even higher: at +31 percentage points, the strategic bias is at its highest level since December 2020. Investors can't seem to get enough of the S&P 500's record highs. The trend is fuelled by US technology stocks. The temporary aversion from the summer months is no longer much in evidence here. There is also an all-clear signal for gold.
Further results:
- Further resultsGold: Basic confidence catches on at a high level
- Crude oil: Rise could continue
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (40-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 06.10.24
- File Size:
- 926 KB
The Strategic bias in equities is rising significantly
During the Chinese holiday week, investors' fundamental confidence in equities improved globally. Institutional investors in particular are reacting very positively in their strategic bias, which statistically indicates rising equity prices. At the same time, sentiment is cooling off in the short term, causing the TD indices to fall as well. We are also measuring bias signals in bonds and the currency market, while the oil sentiment is very bullish.
Further results
- EUR-USD: Reversal in the strategic bias
- Crude oil: Bullish sentiment
- sentix Economic Index: Monday, 7th oct. 2024, 10:30am CET
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sentix Survey results (39-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 29.09.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
The China party continues
The mood on the stock markets has improved significantly. We measure the highest optimism for US equities this year. Investors are also acting accordingly bullish. The equity ratios have also increased. This is likely to dampen the short-term price outlook. We experienced a bang over the course of the week for Chinese equities. Here, we measure an increase in sentiment of 42 percentage points, more than ever before in a week.
Further results
- Bonds: attractiveness is waning across the entire curve
- Silver: the China party continues
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (38-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 22.09.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Loss of confidence in bonds
Investors in the bond market are not happy about the interest rate cuts by the Fed and the ECB. The basic strategic confidence is collapsing significantly, thus promoting profit-taking in bonds. Investors are apparently worried that inflation could make a comeback. For equities, we are seeing signals of an interim consolidation. There is also a sentiment signal for EUR-USD.
Further results
- Equities: Too many bulls in the US stock market
- EUR-USD: Bullish sentiment
- sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (37-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 15.09.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Buzllish sentiment reflex in equities
Confidence is increasingly spreading on the stock market. After the fear reflex of the previous week, share sentiment is jumping upwards just as reflexively. And basic confidence is also on the march. Is this the best of all worlds or a dangerous displacement mode? We see parallels in the sentiment picture from a year ago. Back then, investors were confident and a good fourth quarter followed. Is history repeating itself?
Further results
- Equities: Basic strategic confidence surprisingly strong
- Gold: The air is getting thinner
- sentix sector sentiment
