sentix Weekly

Folder: 2023 and before

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    Indicator in focus: Risks for German stock market rise as “Overconfidence” kicks in

    Uploaded:
    20.02.17
    File Size:
    195 KB

    Risks for German stock market rise as “Overconfidence” kicks in

    The latest sentix survey reveals an issue: the sentix Overconfidence Index for the German Stock Index DAX has reached a new two-year high. Hence, the indicator signalises that investors have gained an extreme conviction that the market is trending upwards. A historical comparison indicates that the market has accumulated substantial risk.

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    Indicator in focus: Stock market risk levels rise

    Uploaded:
    13.02.17
    File Size:
    197 KB

    Stock market risk levels rise


    Investors’ confidence in the equity markets takes a beating. The respective sentix indicator for both, the US and European markets continues its decline. Although investors review their stance on equities, stock prices rally. Risks are lurking due to this discrepancy.

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    Trump in focus

    Uploaded:
    31.01.17
    File Size:
    147 KB

    Introduction of the sentix Trumpometer®

    The new US administration is increasingly viewed by investors as an important market factor. For this reason, sentix begins measuring this perception and assessing how the actions of the US administration in various policy areas affect the stock market from the investor's point of view. The first survey involved more than 1,200 professional and private investors.

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    Indicator in focus: Crude burdens commodity asset class

    Uploaded:
    23.01.17
    File Size:
    546 KB

    Crude burdens commodity asset class


    The sentix asset class sentiment for commodities has reached the highest level since 2012. At the same time, investors express falling conviction about further rising crude oil prices. Due to the material interconnection between crude price and the development of all commodities, risks arise.

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    Indicator in Focus: “Trumped”

    Uploaded:
    16.01.17
    File Size:
    190 KB

    “Trumped”


    The sentix Sector Sentiment for European pharmaceutical stocks has hit the lowest level since 12 years ago. Within only a few weeks, investors’ perception has turned upside down. The latest remarks by president-elect Trump on drug pricing in the US has stirred up investors’ confidence. A short-term buying opportunity could arise.

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    Indicator in focus: False hope

    Uploaded:
    02.01.17
    File Size:
    198 KB

    False hope

    For the first time since the US election, the sentix Sentiment for the precious metal gold turns positive. The rapid built up of positive attitude, however, is counterproductive for further price increases.

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    Indicator in focus: Ice Age for the Euro

    Uploaded:
    19.12.16
    File Size:
    201 KB

    Ice Age for the Euro

    The sentix Sentiment for the Euro US-Dollar exchange rate plunges to an all-time low. The diverging monetary policies of the Fed and the ECB wreak havoc not only on the Euro exchange rate but also on investors’ sentiment. Market participants should brace for further Euro weakness.

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    Indicator in focus: European bank stocks are en vogue again

    Uploaded:
    13.12.16
    File Size:
    184 KB

    European bank stocks are en vogue again

    The sentix Sector Sentiment for European bank stocks hits the highest value since January 2014. Investors’ perception inverted by 180 degrees within only a few months. At least in the short-run, the steady rate of bullish conversion strains further outperformance.

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    Indicator in focus: Déjà-vu

    Uploaded:
    12.12.16
    File Size:
    193 KB

    Déjà-vu

    sentix Sentiment for the German equity market scores new record high. Investors celebrate previous week’s stock market gains. The latest sentiment frenzy represents a short-term contrarian sell signal – a similar set-up as last year.

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    sentix Euro Break-up Index: It is high time!

    Uploaded:
    29.11.16
    File Size:
    222 KB

    Euro Break-up Index: It is high time!

    The closer we approach December 4th, the more does the Italian referendum occupy the minds of investors. Fears of more trouble in the Eurozone mount as Italy takes the spotlight in our monthly Euro Break-Index (EBI) survey. Surprisingly, investors do not exclusively pick Italy as a potential exit candidate. Moreover, exit probabilities of many euro member countries are on the rise. Especially France and the Netherlands join ranks with Italy. The sentix EBI increases to 24.1%.

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