sentix Weekly

Folder: 2023 and before

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    On the tracks of special vintages - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    19.11.19
    File Size:
    225 KB

    On the tracks of special vintages

    The stock year 2019 is a special one. With a current plus of 26.6%, it is one of the thirteen best years in the S&P 500 since 1920! What can we expect for the rest of the year?

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    Investors love technology stocks - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    12.11.19
    File Size:
    202 KB

    Investors love technology stocks

    The upturn in share prices in recent weeks has strengthened investors' appetite for risk - and rekindled old preferences. But are the winners of the last round also the favourites for the current rally?

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    Investors increase their holdings - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    29.10.19
    File Size:
    275 KB

    Investors increase their holdings

    A look at the investor positioning data measured by sentix shows that investors have increased their equity quotas in the last two months. A sub-investment has turned into an over-investment. How does this change the risk situation for equities?

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    Stress until Christmas? - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    22.10.19
    File Size:
    245 KB

    Stress until Christmas?

    A month ago, we discussed the development of German equities in the strategic bias and the question of whether a negative Q4 development like 2018 could be repeated in 2019. So far, the development in the bias has diverged so strongly that there is little to suggest a repetition of the weak share price development. The situation is different for bonds!

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    Greater reversal in sector trends? - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    15.10.19
    File Size:
    193 KB

    Greater reversal in sector trends?

    Since August, something has been happening in the relative strength of the sectors. The winners of the last 18 months, pharmaceuticals and food, are weakening. And the weak automotive and banking sectors can improve. Will there be a sustainable turn now?

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    Positioning risks in gold remain high - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    01.10.19
    File Size:
    299 KB

    Positioning risks in gold remain high

    A month ago, we highlighted gold as a risky investment at this point. The risk radar showed a strongly negative score of more than -2, which suggested a noticeable correction. This has now begun.

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    A parallel to 2018? - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    25.09.19
    File Size:
    280 KB

    A parallel to 2018?

    We are currently measuring an increase in the strategic bias for equities that is both seasonal and reminiscent of 2018. Let us remember: last year there was also a strong bias increase in September, but this was abruptly countered in October and turned out to be a false signal.

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    New start-up for bank shares - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    17.09.19
    File Size:
    199 KB

    New start-up for bank shares

    In the current sentix survey on sector assessments in the Euro zone, a change in favourites from defensive to cyclical sectors is emerging. We were particularly curious about the expectations for banks after the ECB took far-reaching decisions at its last meeting on 12 September.

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    The Bund yield curve should become steeper - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    10.09.19
    File Size:
    241 KB

    The Bund yield curve should become steeper

    In the run-up to the upcoming ECB meeting on 12 September, the sentix economic indices are sending an interesting signal for German government bonds. For this purpose, we consider the difference between expected values and situation indices for the economy in Germany and the Euro zone.

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    Gold correction ante portas - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    26.08.19
    File Size:
    354 KB

    Gold correction ante portas

    In the current weekly analysis, we have highlighted the sentix risk radar to gold. With a value of -2.1 standard deviations, gold has a high risk according to this indicator. The indicator evaluates the factors sentiment, positioning, overconfidence, deviation from the moving average and the RSI indicator. 

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